The steady and significant increases in the price of medicines, which has no indication of slowing, cries out for an extrapolation of costs going forward. Statheads come forth. Between October 2008 and September 2009, the brand-named medications most commonly used by Medicare beneficiaries rose an average of 9.3 percent. Interestingly, this was a period when […]

This tidbit of creative thinking was found on the site of Jonathan Nguyen, who works in PR andcrises management. He saw a news story about George Sodini, who murdered three and wounded nine others in a Pennsylvania gym before killing himself. Sodini had talked about his plans on his blog, as have many others. Now, […]

A 2007 article in Good Magazine written by Michael A.M. Lerner summarized some of the work of Bruce Bueno de Mesquita in mathematically predicting “virtually any international conflict, provided the basic inputs are accurate.” Bueno de Mesquita can also be seen on You Tube giving lectures and his work raise important but thorny issues on […]

Let me tell you how I came to be curious about the issue of model simulations and predictive analysis. First, I am not a statistician. By day, I am an internet media lawyer in a mid-sized law firm in the heart of Boston . Up until now, all the statistics I know came from one […]

  This is my first blog about the future. Yesterday, I went to see Star Trek and although my expectations were tempered from prior Star Trek films, I came away thinking that this one had a lot to it and a lot that is relevant to this particular point in human history, where all that is past and […]